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Tropical Storm Nicole Eyes NYC Area After Florida Landfall: How Much Rain Will We Get?

Published

4 months ago

November 10, 2022

Nicole made landfall near Vero Beach, Florida, early Thursday as a Category 1 hurricane, the third hurricane this November in the Atlantic Basin — and now the storm, albeit a weakened one, has the New York area in its sights.

An approaching front only complicates matters. The remnants of Nicole will combine with that come Friday, bringing showers to the New York City area by midday before the rain — and winds — intensify. Expect at-times torrential downpours into Saturday morning across the tri-state.

Wind gusts could top 50 mph in spots, with the worst weather expected to hit overnight Friday into Saturday. Flash flooding is a concern for most of the tri-state, but especially well north and west of New York City. Minor coastal flooding and erosion is also possible, and there could be a few severe thunderstorms early Saturday morning.

At this point, a widescale 1 to 2 inches of rain is expected to accumulate through Saturday, though some spots could see up to 3 inches, based on the latest forecasts.

Storm Team 4

Here’s a look at the potential threats.

Severe Weather Risk for Friday

severe risk friday — Here’s a check of the severe weather risk.

Expected Rainfall Totals

rain friday — Here’s a look at the projected rain totals through Saturday.

Once Nicole — and that unrelated front — pass through the tri-state area, colder air dives in and highs will struggle to reach 50 degrees from Sunday through next week. It is November, after all.

The storm was expected to dump up to 8 inches of rain on parts of the Florida peninsula as it walloped the Ian-ravaged state with dangerous waves and storm surge, along with intense rain and wind, according to the National Hurricane Center. NHC downgraded Nicole to a tropical storm early Thursday, with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph.

The Atlantic hurricane season began on June 1 and ends on Nov. 30.